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The
Asia Crisis: Causa Sine Qua Non
By Timothy M. Devinney
Why Asia needs
more transparent Institutions
The recent buffeting
of the Asian economies has led to a lot of soul searching
both within government and business circles along with a growing
anxiety on the part of average Asians who wonder about their
jobs and futures. However, in spite of all the 'Monday morning
quarterbacking', few commentators understand that the problems
in Asia have a simple and root cause a failure in social
and corporate governance that calls into question the
fundamental logic of 'Asian' capitalism.
In the discussion
that follows, I argue that deep-seated tendencies serve to
stifle transparency in everyday commercial and social interactions
in many troubled Asian economies. Only by focussing policy
reform, both in the society and the corporate realm, on the
achievement of transparent governance will any true reform
be achieved. An overemphasis on macroeconomic policy reform
without a parallel plan for making decision making authority
clear and contestable will be little more than a half-measure.
The style of capitalism
operating in Asia is normally thought to be different in form
and substance from more traditional 'Anglo-Saxon' capitalism
most obviously represented by American corporations. Unlike
Anglo-Saxon capitalism, Asian capitalism is more relational,
being based upon expansive networks of family, ethnic and
regional ties that replace the contractual arrangements dominant
in developed economies. The traditional nature of Asian capitalism,
with its emphasis on frugality, authoritarianism, and simple
top-down management structures is well suited to the needs
and demands of developing societies, particularly those with
a weak tradition of social transparency most clearly seen
in a lack of rule of law.
For the past several
decades, Asian corporate networks have substituted quite effectively
for arm's length governance and contractual guarantees. Thin
capital markets and a dubious relationship between investment
in a company and the ability to exercise any degree of ownership
provided an incentive for the formation of 'closely-held'
corporate structures. It also led to a tendency to expand
based upon 'relational' logic rather than corporate logic.
The incentive to expand operations using one's network of
relationships provided a degree of financial and psychological
security at a cost of strategic sense. Such a system could
work only for so long. Asian corporations, already woefully
lacking in middle management talent, could hardly be expected
to manage (rather than simply own) chicken farms, retail outlets,
and industrial equipment all under one roof. Furthermore,
as expansion required more funds, the new 'owners' of these
companies would begin demanding not just performance but a
clearer statement of corporate purpose.
It is my contention
that traditional relational capitalism will ultimately die
and that those corporations and societies that recognise this
fact first will be those most likely to ride out the current
storm and be successful in the coming decades. Clearly, relationships
and trust are important in any society and are a key ingredient
to transacting business successfully. However, they cannot
be sustained as the core logic of a society and business,
particularly societies that are facing true directional change
rather than simple random turbulence. The strength of relational
systems is not their flexibility but their ability to hold
firm in the face of troubles. In the coming decades, a ship's
anchor will become less valuable than the crew's ability to
chart a path through continual storms.
If Asian societies
and corporations are to be successful in the future they will
require not only skilled managers and political and social
leaders but also a sea change in the way in which they think
about corporate and social governance. The paramount condition
for economic success, and ultimately social success (as measured
by the people and not a political plutocracy), is the dominance
of the logic of transparency. The success of the Anglo-Saxon
model of capitalism is due to its embodiment of the principle
of transparency and all that follows from it. The ability
of societies such as Singapore, Hong Kong and Malta to thrive
is hardly unrelated to their inheritance of the British system
of law with its natural contestability and transparency.
Much has been written
about the success of Hong Kong and Singapore and the importance
of the rule of law. However, this misses the point. The rule
of law is not itself important, but the fact that the rule
of law exists is a reflection of the importance the society
places on the transparency of social structures. Martin Lee,
in a recent International Herald Tribune editorial,
noted that the time had come for democracy in Hong Kong. As
history has shown, democracy has many forms. For example,
is the British system of 'first-past-the-post' any more or
less democratic that the American electoral system, the Australian
system of preferences or the French two-stage electoral processes?
What Mr Lee should be calling for is that Hong Kong civil
structures remain transparent and contestable rather than
simply 'accountable' to leaders elected by one form rather
than another.
Similarly, in many
parts of Asia much has been made about 'crony capitalism'.
Again, this is too simplistic. If corruption were a matter
of simply paying a price for a service it would be little
different than other license fees. The problem is not whether
there is or is not a price of doing business but that you
know the price, it is the same for everyone, and it is clear
to whom you make the cheque.
Just as the Fords,
Duponts, and Carnegies ultimately yielded control of their
corporate empires, so too will many of the dominant Asian
families find that 'familial' governance must be ceded to
professional and faceless management structures. In addition,
the top-down patriarchal system is antithetical to modern
equity financed corporate structures. If one looks at history,
there are two triggers for these changes. First, financial
demands caused by the firm's need to expand weaken the power
of the original owners. This shows up in two ways. In countries
with thinner equity markets, control moves into the hands
of the banks (until recently the continental European and
Japanese model). In countries with well-developed equity markets,
control moves into the hands of independent investors and
fund managers (the American and British model).
Second, performance
wanes as the strategic ability of the patriarch and his advisers
are called into question. There are inevitable conflicts of
interest between the financial and personal goals of this
patriarchal management and the financial interests of the
investors. The old interests will always lose this battle
in the end.
Demands for transparency
of corporate governance have profound implications for the
nature of a firm's management and decision making.
First, transparency opens up a firm's strategy to external
scrutiny. Not only do external investors demand that a coherent
strategy exist but that this strategy is based upon some fundamental
corporate logic. The history of many Asian companies has been
expansion based upon opportunity, relationships, and government
fiat. The fact that these companies have been successful is
a testimony to hard work and a booming market (you really
had to be unlucky or outrageous to fail in these circumstances).
Second, transparency
requires that the firm's management be accountable for the
implementation of that strategy and be directly responsible
for its implementation. This imposes on the corporation increasing
demands for professionalism in management and clear rules
and procedures for the measurement of performance.
Third, transparency
requires simplicity and focus. Conglomeration in Asian firms
has its roots in the weak liquidity and poor structure of
many Asian financial markets (i.e., the inability of owners
to exercise control over management). Focus not only forces
the firm to commit to specific strategies but makes measurement
and control by external investors easier.
As we look at the
Asian landscape today we see many firms rethinking who they
are and what they do. In this sense, the recent turbulence
in the marketplace should be looked upon as an opportunity
to make truly fundamental changes. Many of the social changes
that must be confronted are daunting and will take at least
a generation to work through. However, achieving transparency
in corporate governance is both easier and less contentious
and can serve to pave the way for more open social institutions.
In thinking about adjusting to these changes, a few simple
ideas need to be kept in mind if Asian corporations are going
to be prepared for the next millennium.
First, modern accounting,
finance, operations, and marketing principles diligently applied
by well-educated managers are only a small part of modern
corporate governance. A well-governed corporation requires
a fundamental purpose guided by a senior management and board
personally and intellectually committed to its implementation.
Second, this corporate logic must be open to scrutiny by an
unbiased skilled board and the ownership at large. The ability
of senior management to subject its thinking to a process
of due diligence is sine qua non of its ability to
gain the commitment of the rest of the firm. It should be
noted that such scrutiny in not anti-Confucian, in that it
does not imply conflict between management and the board if
done well.
Third, the strength
of many Hong Kong and Singaporean firms has been their openness
to outsiders, including non-Asians, at the very senior levels
of management and on their boards. Like the best Western companies,
they look to their boards for diversity, skills, and knowledge
of locals markets. As Asian companies tap international financial
markets, it would be illogical for them to expect that these
investors would not, in many cases, want a more direct say
in the way in which their money is being used. It would be
equally illogical to think that they could or should be ignored.
I have argued that
the dominant model of corporate and social governance is one
built on transparency. This does not, however, deny that alternative
transparent structures can and do exist. For example, the
mitbestimmung (codetermination) system of governance
is seen only in Germany. The mitbestimmung system divides
the governance of German corporations between a management
board and a supervisory board made up of bankers and investors,
management, and union representatives. It is an approach uniquely
adapted to Germany's postwar cooperative system between unions,
banks and management.
Asian corporations
and societies, whether they are Chinese, Malay, Thai or Korean,
will no doubt evolve systems that they feel work well within
their social contexts. However, in today's interdependent
world, financial ownership and control is the great mediator.
Corporate and social structures that fail to match world-best
practice will pay a price in the future, just as Indonesia,
Korea, Malaysia, and Thailand are paying the price today.
Timothy
Devinney
is a Professor at the Australian Graduate School of Management,
University of New South Wales, Sydney, where he teaches strategy
and international business. He travels and works throughout
Asia. Allen & Unwin have recently published his latest
book, The Essence of Corporate Strategy.
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