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Economic
Literacy in One Mighty Lesson
Rewiew
by Wolfgang Kasper
Click
here for PDF version
Basic
Economics: A Citizen's Guide to the Economy
by Thomas Sowell
Basic Books,2000,US$30.00, 366pp,ISBN 0 465 08138 X
One of
the criteria for predicting a communityÕs future prosperity
is its Ôeconomic literacyÕ. Citizens and leaders are economically
literate if they understand thatÑin a complex evolving economyÑeverything
depends on everything else: that business transactions and
political coordination are costly pursuits, that mere push-button
interventions often backfire, and that ballot democracy must
therefore not be allowed to subvert the dollar democracy of
the marketplace. Economically literate citizens tend to reject
the populist junk science peddled by self-seeking interest
groups and the media.1
If there
is a single recent book that can advance economic literacy
in this country, it is Tom SowellÕs latest book, Basic
Economics: A CitizenÕs Guide to the Economy. He is an
old friend of The Centre for Independent Studies (CIS), known
to many supporters of CIS since he gave the 1988 Bonython
Lecture.2
Basic
Economics is founded on the insight that Ôthe basic principles
. . . are not terribly complicated, nor the facts particularly
obscure. What gets complicated is disentangling a fairly straightforward
story from a jungle of preconceptions and emotion-laden mythsÕ
(169). The book has no graphs and no inaccessible terminology,
but tons of sound commonsense. It makes economics accessible
to the laymanÑnot by dumbing economics down and ignoring the
interdependencies of economic life, but by presenting time-tested
knowledge in imaginative plain English and through numerous
telling examples. In many respects, it is a worthy successor
of the perpetual bestseller, Henry HazlittÕs Economics in
One Lesson, first published in 1946 and still going strong.
In virtually all respects, it surpasses HazlittÕs classic
in clarity, coverage and relevance.
Coverage
and contents
The
book starts with the role of prices as a superior signalling
mechanism not only for coordinating producers and buyers of
given resources, but also for discovering new wants and new
resources. Markets of course value different peopleÕs contributions
differently, even unfairly, but Ôunfairness to particular
individuals is what makes the economy as a whole operate more
efficiently for the benefit of vastly larger numbers of othersÕ
(20). Economics is, after all, about the material wellbeing
of the community, not the comfort or security of particular
individuals.
Part II
deals with the evolution of industry and commerce, the dynamics
of markets in which profits and losses are the driving forces
and where political action can easily become a costly disturbance.
ÔNo economic system can depend on the continuing wisdom of
its existing leaders. A price-coordinated economy with competition
. . . does not have to, because those leaders can be forced
to change courseÑor be replacedÑwhether because of red ink,
irate stockholders, outside investors ready to take over,
or because of a bankruptcy court . . . it is hardly surprising
that economies under the thumbs of kings or commissars have
seldom matched the track record of capitalist economiesÕ (67).
When discussing
profits, in Marxist eyes an unnecessary surcharge, Sowell
writes: Ô. . . profit is less costly than inefficiency . .
. profit is a price paid for efficiencyÕ (75). Or later, when
discussing how governments shore up monopolies, he remarks:
Ô . . . just as dams can prevent water from finding its own
level, so government intervention can prevent a monopolyÕs
profit rate from being reduced by competitionÕ (91). Such
phrases show the mastery of a seasoned old trooper who has
tempered his arguments on many a battleground.
Part III
deals with work and pay. He demonstrates the deleterious consequences
of minimum wages and decreed workplace security, most notably
in unemployment. He addresses popular confusion about income
distribution: ÔMost income is distributed only in the statistical
sense in which there is a distribution of heights in a populationÑsome
people being 5 foot 4 inches tall, others 6 foot 2 inches,
etc.Ñbut none of their heights were sent out from some central
location. Yet it is all too common to read journalists and
others discussing how ÒsocietyÓ distributes its incomeÕ (134).
On a few masterful pages, Sowell deflates much fuzzy thinking
about labour, for example when he writes that Ô[a]ttempts
to make prices, including the prices of peopleÕs labor and
talents, be something other than signals to guide resources
to their most valued uses, make those prices less effective
for their basic purpose, on which the prosperity of the whole
society dependsÕ (137).
In the
following section, Sowell deals with time and risk, discussing
investment and saving, economic speculation, inventories (characterised
as Ôsubstitutes for knowledgeÕ), rates of return, present
value, calculable risks and incalculable uncertainties, insurance,
and social ÔsecurityÕ. He shows how competitive private solutions
to dealing with the consequences of time and ignorance often
produce better results than collective choices, but acknowledges
a Ôpolitically irresistible inclinationÕ to meddle and regulate.
I particularly liked the characterisation of speculation as
Ôthe opposite of gambling. What gambling involves . . . is
creating a risk that would otherwise not exist . . . What
economic speculation involves is coping with an inherent risk
. . . to minimize it and to leave it to be borne by whoever
is best equipped to bear itÕ (179).
The Part
on the national economy treats macroeconomics, where we Ôencounter
a great deal of confusion spread by politicians and media
commentatorsÕ (217). He explains how real output is measured,
the role of money, inflation and cyclical fluctuations (along
Chicago monetarist lines), and the financial system. All this
is done with the crisp brevity which macroeconomics deserves.
He then turns to government, whose key role is to protect
law and order, including safeguarding property rights, so
that people can confidently explore and exploit knowledge.
Laws must be reliable, dependable and impartial, but government-made
law can do no more than back up the social order. I would
have made more of the internal institutions that constitute
social orderÑthe evolved rules and attitudes reflected in
time-tested customs, morals and work practices that society
enforces spontaneously and cheaply. After all, legislation
inflicts high monitoring and enforcement costs and relies
on coercion rather than more or less voluntary compliance
with the internal norms of well-functioning civil societies.
Sowell
shows that private property rights are essential to coordination
in markets. Profits and losses only motivate people when they
augment or diminish peopleÕs property. The market system is
made dysfunctional by interference with private property rights,
for example by regulations or subsidies to compensate corporations
for losses, as seems to have become the fashion under the
Howard government. Sowell also highlights the role of property
rights in encouraging wise stewardship of natural resources:
ÔThe only animals threatened with extinction are animals not
owned by anyone. Colonel Sanders is not about to let chickens
become extinctÕ (243). He also deals briefly with cases where
market decisions cannot reflect the true costs and benefits
(externalities) and where costs or benefits are indivisible
(for example, military defence or standard measures). This
justifies recourse to public choice, but Sowell warns that
public choice is no guarantee of better outcomes, given the
propensity of government agents to act in self-seeking ways
and forget the public interest.
Part VI
deals with the international economy, but not, as in older
American textbooks, as a mere add-on. In the more open economies
of the 21st century, international competition and international
transfers of capital, knowledge and enterprise are integral
parts of everything, so that one has to consider foreigners
as a natural component of the supply and demand in most national
markets. Sowell treats international economic relations in
that spirit.
The seasoned,
experienced teacher is at his very best when discussing some
common fallacies. He tackles head-on those postmodern critics
of economics, who belittle economics as dealing with mere
material values, while they, the critics, pursue higher and
nobler concerns:
ÔEconomics is not a value in and of itself. It is only a way
of weighing one value against anotherÕ (305). The need to
evaluate conflicting demands on scarce resources is of course
inescapable, though contemporary neo-romantics try to ignore
this when attacking Ôeconomic rationalismÕ. Such attempted
escapism from scarcity is as dangerous for policy as the denial
of gravity for aeronauts. Sowell points out that people who
attack ÔgreedÕ are themselves often political operators driven
by greed for power.
Among
populist misconceptions, Sowell also picks up on the fallacy
that the same price should be charged for the same product
irrespective of locationÑthink of AustraliaÕs populist rural
socialists who demand petrol outback at city prices, but who
would never pay Sydney prices for farm land! And he deals
with the Keynesian fallacy that government can and should
inflate demand when private demand flags.
In this
final chapter, Sowell offers us another hint why economics
is not all that popular, including among businessmen. Few
have a natural inclination to compete, time and again, by
risking innovations or cutting costs. Competition may be a
tremendous boon to the wealth of nations, but it is most uncomfortable
to people with property and talent who are challenged to risk
their assets, again and again, if they wish to maintain their
wealth.
A few
quibbles
Nobody
is perfect. And so is no book, although this introduction
comes close to the mark. Nonetheless here are a few quibbles.
The book
begins with Lionel RobbinsÕ famous definition of economics
as Ôthe study of the use of scarce resources which have alternative
usesÕ (1). This reflects an older, static view of economics.
Fortunately, Sowell treats the economy as a dynamic phenomenon.
Why not give the definition of economics a timely, explicit
dynamic twist by stating that economics deals with scarcity,
which is the natural consequence of peopleÕs ability to discover
more wants than resources to satisfy them? Basic Economics
is imbued with the spirit of Austrian economics like no other
introductory text I know. Therefore, I would also have welcomed
a mention of the names of the great Austrian economists of
the past centuryÑLudwig von Mises, Friedrich Hayek, Joseph
SchumpeterÑat least in the Appendix, where pointers are given
to further reading for those whose appetites have been whetted.
On a methodological
level, I would have found it useful to treat transaction costs
explicitly. After all, over half of all costs incurred in
a modern economy with a deep division of labour are transaction
costs.3 They are rising fast as the rapid growth of finance,
trade, business and legal services demonstrates. What makes
this book so appealing is that Sowell acknowledges the costs
of doing business and regulating commerce in his real-life
examples. A more explicit treatment of the costs of transacting
business and innovating would have explained more clearly
how institutions can reduce these costs, facilitating specialisation
and innovation, hence economic growth. The message is of course
there. But making this central aspect explicit would have
differentiated the book more clearly from neoclassical textbooks
and would have made it even more attractive to practical people.
Policymakers would find it harder to forget about the transaction
costs. After all, the litmus test for whether someoneÑwhether
in academia, the media, or politicsÑcan be considered economically
literate is whether he recognises transaction costs and makes
judgments accordingly.
Sowell
as an antidote to the crisis of Australian economics
One can
only appreciate the importance of this book if one sees it
in the context of Australian economics being in a crisis.
Enrolments in Australian economics courses at high school
and tertiary levels have fallen dramatically, reflecting overseas
trends. The economics profession has lost authority and no
longer dominates government policymaking.4 Economic literacy
seems in decline in public discourse and policymaking.
The reasons
for this are easy to see. The discipline has become increasingly
abstract and sterile. The dominant paradigmÑneoclassical economicsÑis
based on wholly unrealistic assumptions, such as Ôperfect
knowledgeÕ about all ends and all means, and perfectly honest
agents. Confining economic analysis to narrow end-means rationality
seems to me the ultimate reason why the Business Economists
split from the academic, theoretical Economic Society and
why lawyers, managers, traders and others who deal daily with
the transaction costs of imperfect knowledge have given up
on formal economics.
CIS publications
have repeatedly criticised the abstract, formalistic, anodyne
and static economics taught and researched in our universities,
as well as the weird model assumptions that so often devalue
policy advice by economists.5 Different from overseas, such
criticism is still rare in Australia. It is not welcome either
because it is an invitation to write off much outdated human
capital.
As Sowell
demonstrates, the ends are being explored all the time and
the means are often unknown in real business life and policymaking.
The modern, dynamic knowledge economy requires bounded and
entrepreneurial rationality, which are not irrational modes
of behaviour. Yet ignorance and anything other than narrow
end-means rationality have been Ôassumed awayÕ to allow the
construction of elegant models.
Neoclassical
economics therefore has nothing or little to say about such
important phenomena as innovation and learning, the real causes
of economic growth, rent-seeking and agent opportunism, privatisation,
regulatory reform and transaction costs. Even key Australian
policy organisationsÑTreasury, the Reserve Bank and the Productivity
Commission who give the right adviceÑhave shied away from
jettisoning unrealistic models and from fully exploring the
logical consequences of a more open, evolutionary economic
paradigm. Often, the supporting analytical material that they
publish remains stuck in the narrow reasoning of neoclassical
models. Dynamic phenomena, such as economic growth and regulatory
reform, cannot be properly analysed within comparative-static
models.
Postmodernist
romantics therefore found it easy to give Ôeconomic rationalismÕ
a bad name. In popular Australian debate, the term is used
to reject the unwelcome reality that scarcity dominates our
livesÑin other words, to reject economics per se. When Ôeconomic
rationalismÕ is defined as neoclassical maximisation, I find
myself opposed to it. When the term is used to cover all sorts
of rational behaviour to cope with limited knowledge and scarce
resources, I have to declare myself an Ôeconomic rationalistÕ.
For practical purposes, the term is probably best avoided.
Doubts
about neoclassical economics probably became widespread in
the 1970s, when the Keynesian recipeÑcombating rising unemployment
with loose monetary and fiscal policiesÑwas tried, including
in WhitlamÕs Australia. It produced only stagflation and obdurately
high unemployment. The supply-side economics, which dominated
economic policy advice in the 1980s and 1990s with its proposals
for regulatory reform and privatisation, owed little to neoclassical
economics. It owed almost everything to Austrian economics
and insights from economic history, the analysis of economic
systems, business management, the law, and economic psychology.
If economics
is to flourish again, it will have to rejuvenate itself by
integrating institutional-evolutionary assumptions into the
mainstream, in particular more realistic assumptions about
individual motivation and values and an Austrian understanding
of how dispersed, evolving knowledge is tested and utilised.
Invisible to the hasty reader, SowellÕs book contains a very
sophisticated view about knowledge and decisionmaking.6 This
makes it a thoroughly modern introduction to economics, which
prepares the reader to think about dynamic change and the
growing services sector.
Australian
academic teachers could make an excellent start on the rejuvenation
of their discipline by using SowellÕs book in a non-technical
introduction. This would certainly raise student enthusiasm
and instil a good basic understanding, before abstract assumptions
and formalism take over. Nor do I know of a better book on
which to base introductory economics courses for engineers,
lawyers, business schools, or those other disciplines that
used to stipulate a coverage of fundamental economics, but
are now doing so less and less.
The book
seems timely also for another reason. It is a wonderful antidote
to the mechanistic lecturing by the ÔPowerBook generationÕ.
Students are often overwhelmed by a rapid-fire kaleidoscope
of graphs, as if these presented any ÔevidenceÕ.7 What needs
to be taught first is a genuine, critical capacity and the
skill to assimilate bits of information into a coherent body
of knowledge. Otherwise, the information revolution will overwhelm
us with information overload, and IT would then stand in the
way of the knowledge society.
Those
colleagues who are seriously worried about the decline of
economics might, in their introductory courses, teach more
about fundamental valuesÑ especially freedom, social order,
private property, competition, transaction, coordination and
agency costs, unintended consequences and rent-seeking. This
is not as easy as showing abstract, simple models. But Tom
Sowell shows how it can be done. Seen in this light, the availability
of Basic Economics is a stroke of good fortune for us.
An
antidote to junk economics
A separate
concern is the rise of populist attacks on every sort of economic
analysis based on Ôjunk scienceÕ. In the social sciences,
the media and on the internet, much currency is nowadays given
to hypotheses about how the economy works; these have not
been tested by experts in the discipline against accepted,
time-tested knowledge, using proven techniques of critical
inquiry. A flood of neo-romantic Ôjunk economicsÕ is fed directly
to a credulous public and ignorant denizens of the media who
prefer the moral melodrama of blame and claim to a rational
understanding of the interdependencies. As a result, the critical
quality of economic literacy will decline if economists fail
to connect with reality again.
The answer
is not to follow authors such as Hugh Stretton, Peter Brain
and Frank Stilwell, let alone the gaggle of postmodernist
Australian sociologists. Their agitation against privatisation,
free trade, foreign investment and institutional reforms is
no more than an advocacy of na•ve collectivist solutions.
The last thing that Australian economics now needs is an injection
of warmed-up Marxist collectivism. Human nature cannot be
changed by social engineering, and economists must work on
that basis. They have no alternative but to turn to the Austrian-evolutionary-
institutional approach that Sowell represents. Basic Economics
equips the student and the citizen to evaluate the flood of
junk economics that is constantly force-fed to us.
Alas,
neoclassical economics offers little defence against the new
junk economics. Nor can we always rely on great economists,
who are given to abstract analysis devoid of fundamental values
and commonsense and who have on occasions sounded outright
foolish. One notorious example was John Maynard KeynesÕ Foreword
to the first German translation of his General Theory. In
1937, he wrote that Germany under the National Socialist German
WorkersÕ Party (i.e. HitlerÕs totalitarian party) was best
suited to implement Keynesian economics! AnotherÑand one that
epitomises the bankruptcy of neoclassical economicsÑ was the
assertion by Nobel Prize winner Paul Samuelson in the 1989
edition of his bestselling textbook: ÔThe Soviet economy is
proof that, contrary to what many sceptics had earlier believed,
a socialist command economy can function and even thriveÕ
(837). Readers of the Sowell book will be well equipped to
immediately doubt such pronouncements, as they will be aware
of fundamentals about human nature, human ignorance and the
values that define the good society.
Conclusion
Basic
Economics is firmly grounded on a thorough understanding
of individual cognition and material incentives. Neither does
the book shy away from normative economics, which distinguishes
it most laudably from most available introductions to economics.
It points out what is good or bad in promoting prosperity,
justice, harmony, security and liberty, and what interventions
detract from these fundamental values. Tom Sowell has managed
to make economics humane again, relevant and interesting to
young people and ordinary citizens. His economics remains
anchored to his mission to serve as a citizenÕs guide to economic
life.
My recommendation
is: Buy a copy and read it immediatelyÑno: buy two, and give
one to a school teacher, a journalist or a politician near
you!
Endnotes
1
Those many internationally experienced business people who
contributed to recent surveys of international competitiveness
by the Lausanne Business School IMD tend to rate Australia
a mediocre 10-15th on Ôeconomic literacyÕ out of forty-odd
countries. Japan, Singapore and Hong Kong tend to come first;
South Africa, Russia and Latin countries last.
2
T. Sowell, Endangered Freedom, Fifth Bonython Lecture (Sydney:
The Centre for Independent Studies, 1988).
3
D. North, Transaction Costs, Institutions and Economic Performance
(International Center for Economic Growth, 1992).
4
W. Coleman and A. Hagger, Exasperating Calculators: The Rage
over Economic Rationalism and the Campaign against Australian
Economists (Sydney: Macleay Press, 2001).
5
W. Kasper, Property Rights and Competition (Sydney: The Centre
for Independent Studies, 1999); D. B. Klein, ÔWhat Do Academic
Economists Contribute?Õ, Policy 16: 2 (Winter 2000), 30-2.
6
This implicit quality of the book is based on serious conceptual
work done earlier on the importance of knowledge in economic
and social evolution. See T. Sowell, Knowledge and Decisions
(New York: Basic Books, 1980).
7
The problem seems particularly acute in the new programmes
for distance education. What I have seen lately relies heavily
on the mindless use of simplistic graphs and shies away from
critical discussion of the assumptions on which such graphs
are based.
Wolfgang
Kasper is Emeritus Professor (UNSW)and Senior Fellow at
The Centre for Independent Studies.
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