Preserving Peace as China Rises II: Preparing for a Post-American Asian Order
Benjamin Herscovitch
01 September 2014 | FPA10

With US leadership unable to guarantee peace and security in the Indo-Pacific this century, the region will need to transition to a balance of power system divided between China, the United States, India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). To mitigate dangerously destabilising…

Preserving Peace as China Rises I
Benjamin Herscovitch
13 March 2014 | FPA9

Inventive foreign policy that can simultaneously reassure the Indo-Pacific’s established powers and accommodate Chinese ambitions is urgently needed. This report proposes three complementary strategies to safeguard stability in the Indo-Pacific: Prolong US leadership; protect the territorial status quo; and pursue a policy of ‘strategic ambiguity’…

Accountable Authoritarianism: Why China’s Democratic Deficit Will Last
Benjamin Herscovitch
31 October 2013 | FPA8

The Chinese Communist Party’s evolving model of ‘accountable authoritarianism’ is set to prove that prosperity need not produce democracy. By pursuing a moderate reformist agenda within the framework of one-party rule, the CCP will secure its grip on government and ensure that political decisions remain…

Future Submarine Project Should Raise Periscope for Another Look
Simon Cowan
24 October 2012 | PM130

The Future Submarine Project – replacement of Australia’s 6 ailing Collins Class submarines with 12 Future Submarines – has a potential cost of $40 billion. The Future Submarine is likely to involve a substantially redesign of an existing diesel powered submarine to meet Australia’s needs.…

Southeast Asia’s American Embrace
Jessica Brown
29 March 2012 | FPA7

All Southeast Asian states want to take advantage of the benefits of a rising China, yet none wants it to be in a position to dominate the region strategically. All welcome America’s strategic ‘pivot’ towards Asia because they hope it will provide a counterbalance to…

Media & Commentary

Chinese stock market: To eat or not to eat the cake?
Patrick Carvalho
07 August 2015 | Ideas@TheCentre

China’s authorities are desperately attempting — and failing — to intervene in its stock market to prevent a much-needed and rational price correction. The main reason is politics, not economics.…

The threat of Chinas rise
Benjamin Herscovitch
30 July 2015 | China Spectator

A tectonic shift in global power is under way, and it is provoking fear and loathing in Washington. The spectacular failure of US attempts to dissuade allies and partners from…

Beijing will beat Washington in the South China Sea’s battle of wills
Benjamin Herscovitch
16 July 2015 | China Spectator

At the opening of the seventh annual United States-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue earlier this week, US Vice-President Joe Biden launched yet another diplomatic broadside against Chinese territorial aggrandisement in…

Australia should stay out of the South China Sea
Benjamin Herscovitch
04 June 2015 | China Spectator

Canberra looks set to wade into the South China Sea’s turbulent waters. As The Australian reported on Tuesday, Australia may soon fly a P-3 maritime reconnaissance aircraft near artificial Chinese…

Hugh White is right even when wrong
Benjamin Herscovitch
13 April 2015 | China Spectator

Foreign policy commentary in Australia can be a fratricidal business. In the latest salvo, Greg Sheridan, foreign editor for The Australian, excoriated the Australian National University’s Professor Hugh White on…