The rise of China’s imperial president
Kerry Brown, Peter Cai, Benjamin Herscovitch
13 April 2015

Chinese President Xi Jinping has emerged as the Middle Kingdom’s most powerful strongman since paramount leader Deng Xiaoping. In the two years following his ascension, Xi has further centralised political powers, muzzled dissidents and activists even more tightly, and pursued increasingly muscular foreign policy. Xi…

Preserving Peace as China Rises II: Preparing for a Post-American Asian Order
Benjamin Herscovitch
01 September 2014 | FPA10

With US leadership unable to guarantee peace and security in the Indo-Pacific this century, the region will need to transition to a balance of power system divided between China, the United States, India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). To mitigate dangerously destabilising…

Preserving Peace as China Rises I
Benjamin Herscovitch
13 March 2014 | FPA9

Inventive foreign policy that can simultaneously reassure the Indo-Pacific’s established powers and accommodate Chinese ambitions is urgently needed. This report proposes three complementary strategies to safeguard stability in the Indo-Pacific: Prolong US leadership; protect the territorial status quo; and pursue a policy of ‘strategic ambiguity’…

Accountable Authoritarianism: Why China’s Democratic Deficit Will Last
Benjamin Herscovitch
31 October 2013 | FPA8

The Chinese Communist Party’s evolving model of ‘accountable authoritarianism’ is set to prove that prosperity need not produce democracy. By pursuing a moderate reformist agenda within the framework of one-party rule, the CCP will secure its grip on government and ensure that political decisions remain…

Future Submarine Project Should Raise Periscope for Another Look
Simon Cowan
24 October 2012 | PM130

The Future Submarine Project – replacement of Australia’s 6 ailing Collins Class submarines with 12 Future Submarines – has a potential cost of $40 billion. The Future Submarine is likely to involve a substantially redesign of an existing diesel powered submarine to meet Australia’s needs.…

Media & Commentary

One-child change irrelevant to population growth
Patrick Carvalho
06 November 2015 | Ideas@TheCentre

China’s recent decision to dump its one-child policy will produce little impact on its future population growth. Indeed, the measure is largely irrelevant, as its fertility rate is currently way…

Why China axing its one-child policy won’t make any difference
Patrick Carvalho
02 November 2015 | Daily Telegraph

The recent axing of China’s one-child policy has revived the debate on population growth and its impact on Earth’s natural resources. Yet history teaches us that economic incentives are far…

Labor racism won't play
Jeremy Sammut
23 October 2015 | Ideas@TheCentre

At a forum earlier this year, a prominent Leftist economic commentator outlined his greatest fear that as the economy soured, politicians would shift the blame by reverting to the slogans…

ChAFTA: Foreign Worker Invasion Fears Unfounded
Patrick Carvalho
20 October 2015 | Huffington Post

Bill Shorten’s latest (counterproductive) demands for supporting the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement show how low the political debate has sunk. The fears over mass Chinese immigration are not supported by…

Chinese stock market: To eat or not to eat the cake?
Patrick Carvalho
07 August 2015 | Ideas@TheCentre

China’s authorities are desperately attempting — and failing — to intervene in its stock market to prevent a much-needed and rational price correction. The main reason is politics, not economics.…