The rise of China’s imperial president
Kerry Brown, Peter Cai, Benjamin Herscovitch
13 April 2015

Chinese President Xi Jinping has emerged as the Middle Kingdom’s most powerful strongman since paramount leader Deng Xiaoping. In the two years following his ascension, Xi has further centralised political powers, muzzled dissidents and activists even more tightly, and pursued increasingly muscular foreign policy. Xi…

Preserving Peace as China Rises II: Preparing for a Post-American Asian Order
Benjamin Herscovitch
01 September 2014 | FPA10

With US leadership unable to guarantee peace and security in the Indo-Pacific this century, the region will need to transition to a balance of power system divided between China, the United States, India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). To mitigate dangerously destabilising…

Preserving Peace as China Rises I
Benjamin Herscovitch
13 March 2014 | FPA9

Inventive foreign policy that can simultaneously reassure the Indo-Pacific’s established powers and accommodate Chinese ambitions is urgently needed. This report proposes three complementary strategies to safeguard stability in the Indo-Pacific: Prolong US leadership; protect the territorial status quo; and pursue a policy of ‘strategic ambiguity’…

Accountable Authoritarianism: Why China’s Democratic Deficit Will Last
Benjamin Herscovitch
31 October 2013 | FPA8

The Chinese Communist Party’s evolving model of ‘accountable authoritarianism’ is set to prove that prosperity need not produce democracy. By pursuing a moderate reformist agenda within the framework of one-party rule, the CCP will secure its grip on government and ensure that political decisions remain…

Future Submarine Project Should Raise Periscope for Another Look
Simon Cowan
24 October 2012 | PM130

The Future Submarine Project – replacement of Australia’s 6 ailing Collins Class submarines with 12 Future Submarines – has a potential cost of $40 billion. The Future Submarine is likely to involve a substantially redesign of an existing diesel powered submarine to meet Australia’s needs.…

Media & Commentary

We need to talk about how we talk about ‘China’
Susan Windybank
08 December 2017 | IDEAS@THECENTRE

We need to know the difference and heed caution before talking about the 'China' under the Chinese Communist Party and the one with a 5000 year old civilisation.

We need to talk about China
Susan Windybank
24 November 2017 | Ideas@TheCentre

Allen & Unwin’s recent decision to drop Clive Hamilton’s book on Chinese Communist Party influence in Australia — citing fears of ‘possible action’ from Beijing — may be a publishing…

Pyongyang: the truths
Tom Switzer
01 September 2017 | Ideas@TheCentre

North Korea’s decision to launch an intermediate ballistic missile over Japan was dangerous and destabilising. But although there are no easy answers when it comes to dealing with Pyongyang, it…

In praise of Southeast Asia’s miracle
Tom Switzer
11 August 2017 | Ideas@TheCentre

If you didn’t notice that this week marks the 50th anniversary of the founding of the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN), don’t worry: most Australians didn’t either. But ASEAN’s milestone…

One-child change irrelevant to population growth
Patrick Carvalho
06 November 2015 | Ideas@TheCentre

China’s recent decision to dump its one-child policy will produce little impact on its future population growth. Indeed, the measure is largely irrelevant, as its fertility rate is currently way…